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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
37.74% ( -0.76) | 26.46% ( -0.08) | 35.8% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( 0.4) | 52.14% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( 0.35) | 73.85% ( -0.35) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -0.24) | 26.86% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( -0.32) | 62.16% ( 0.32) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( 0.71) | 27.98% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( 0.89) | 63.62% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.8% |
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