SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 2-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
22.36% ( 0.58) | 22.72% ( 0.25) | 54.92% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( -0.44) | 43.56% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( -0.43) | 65.96% ( 0.43) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.29) | 33.38% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( 0.31) | 70% ( -0.31) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.43) | 15.76% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.12% ( -0.81) | 44.88% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.36% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 54.92% |
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