SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 76.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Briton Ferry |
76.85% ( -0.2) | 13.66% ( 0.11) | 9.49% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0.3) | 26.48% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.16% ( -0.39) | 46.83% ( 0.39) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.37% ( -0.09) | 5.63% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.17% ( -0.28) | 21.83% ( 0.28) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( -0.07) | 38.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.53% ( -0.06) | 75.47% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Briton Ferry |
| 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 5.37% Total : 76.85% | 1-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 13.66% | 1-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 9.49% |
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