Although Brighton are winless in seven league games, they have breezed past lower-tier opposition to secure their place in the FA Cup quarter-final, and we think that they will showcase their top-flight quality to progress to the last four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City Women	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Women
48% ( 0.18)	21.82% ( 0.02)	30.18% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 67.25% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.68% (

-0.22)

32.31% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.07% (

-0.26)

53.93% (

0.25)

Birmingham City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

-0.02)

14.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.36% (

-0.04)

41.63% (

0.03)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

-0.23)

21.75% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-0.35)

54.93% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City Women 48%

Brighton & Hove Albion Women 30.18%

Draw 21.82%

Birmingham City Women	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 48%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.82%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 30.18%