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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.12%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
12.54% ( 0.11) | 15.33% ( 0.02) | 72.13% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 62.57% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.16% ( 0.17) | 25.83% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.99% ( 0.22) | 46% ( -0.23) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( 0.28) | 33.22% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% ( 0.31) | 69.83% ( -0.31) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.69% ( 0.01) | 6.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.27% ( 0.04) | 23.72% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 12.54% | 1-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 15.33% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 8.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 7.37% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 5.61% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.13% |
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