Although we expect Sunday's contest to be much closer than Leicester's last two home meetings with Arsenal, we still expect the in-form visitors to leave with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 9.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 2-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
9.14% ( -0.02)	14.74% ( -0.01)	76.12% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.35%

33.65% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.53% (

55.46% (

Leicester Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.19% (

-0.03)

44.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.22% (

-0.03)

80.78% (

0.03)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.67% (

0.01)

7.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.53% (

0.02)

26.46% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Leicester Women 9.14%

Arsenal Women 76.11%

Draw 14.74%

Leicester Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.14%	1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.96% Total : 14.74%	0-2 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.13% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.45% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.28% Total : 76.11%