SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Bahrain win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
21.77% ( 0.24) | 22.54% ( 0.1) | 55.68% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.15) | 43.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.15) | 65.89% ( 0.15) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.14) | 33.89% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% ( 0.15) | 70.56% ( -0.14) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.16) | 15.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.64% ( -0.31) | 44.36% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.77% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 55.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
