SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Bahrain |
21.39% ( -1.31) | 27.8% ( 0.2) | 50.81% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.55% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.55% ( -1.61) | 63.45% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.21% ( -1.17) | 82.79% ( 1.17) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.32% ( -2.3) | 45.68% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.53% ( -1.86) | 81.47% ( 1.86) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.2) | 25.34% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( -0.28) | 60.13% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Bahrain |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.67)2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 15.89% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 10.9% ( 0.51)1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 50.8% |
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