SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 78.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 3-0 (12.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Nepal |
78.85% ( 0.02) | 14.7% ( -0.01) | 6.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.51% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% ( 0.01) | 43.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( 0.01) | 66.37% ( -0.01) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% ( 0.01) | 9.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.02% ( 0.01) | 30.98% ( -0.01) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.28% ( -0.02) | 58.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.02% ( -0.01) | 89.98% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Nepal |
| 2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.91% Total : 78.83% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 14.7% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 6.45% |
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