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Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 3, 2021 at 1am UK
 
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Brazil
1 - 0
Chile

Paqueta (46')
Ederson (81')
Jesus (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sierralta (58'), Palacios (76'), Vidal (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.

Result
BrazilDrawChile
59.21%24.57%16.21%
Both teams to score 40.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27%58.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74%79.26%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.18%51.82%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.93%49.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16%84%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 59.21%
    Chile 16.21%
    Draw 24.57%
BrazilDrawChile
1-0 @ 15.72%
2-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.9%
4-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.75%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 59.21%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 3.23%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 3.99%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.21%

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