Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
