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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2021 at 1am UK
 
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Chile
0 - 2
Paraguay


Brereton (45+1'), Medel (56'), Bravo (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Samudio (33'), Almiron (58' pen.)
Martinez (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
ChileDrawParaguay
39.21%29.33%31.46%
Both teams to score 43.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.68%63.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.31%82.69%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36%36.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57%73.42%
Score Analysis
    Chile 39.2%
    Paraguay 31.45%
    Draw 29.32%
ChileDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.32%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 31.45%

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