SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Ecuador |
59.89% ( -3.05) | 24.29% ( 1.22) | 15.82% ( 1.83) |
| Both teams to score 40.83% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% ( -1.29) | 58.34% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% ( -1.02) | 78.96% ( 1.02) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -1.6) | 19.36% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( -2.7) | 51.15% ( 2.71) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.63% ( 1.88) | 49.37% ( -1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.78% ( 1.29) | 84.22% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 15.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.71)2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.78)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.49)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.89% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.82% |
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