SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Argentina |
25.78% ( -1.93) | 25.44% ( 0.01) | 48.78% ( 1.92) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( -1.32) | 51.86% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( -1.15) | 73.62% ( 1.15) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( -2.25) | 34.94% ( 2.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.32% ( -2.44) | 71.68% ( 2.44) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.3) | 21.27% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( 0.46) | 54.2% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.78% |
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