SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Colombia |
23.82% ( -0.43) | 32.1% ( -0.13) | 44.08% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 33.68% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.12) | 73.19% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.79% ( 0.07) | 89.21% ( -0.07) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.89% ( -0.35) | 49.11% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.96% ( -0.25) | 84.03% ( 0.25) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0.4) | 33.82% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.43) | 70.48% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.18% Total : 23.82% | 0-0 @ 16.6% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.09% | 0-1 @ 18% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.07% |
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