SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Colombia |
47.24% ( 0.88) | 30.82% ( -0.03) | 21.94% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 34.7% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.37) | 71.15% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.04% ( -0.23) | 87.96% ( 0.23) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( 0.28) | 30.93% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( 0.33) | 67.22% ( -0.33) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.23% ( -1.12) | 49.77% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.5% ( -0.8) | 84.49% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ecuador | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 18.06% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 47.23% | 0-0 @ 15.39% ( 0.21) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 30.82% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.93% |
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