SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 67.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Comoros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Chad |
67.29% ( 0.15) | 20.85% ( -0.06) | 11.86% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 40.48% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( 0.03) | 53.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( 0.02) | 74.77% ( -0.02) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( 0.06) | 14.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.62% ( 0.11) | 43.38% ( -0.11) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.6% ( -0.15) | 52.4% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.73% ( -0.09) | 86.26% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Chad |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 14.14% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 67.28% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.85% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 11.86% |
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