Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Canada in this match.
