Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a El Salvador win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
