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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
JN

USA
2 - 0
Jamaica

Pepi (49', 62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawJamaica
54.85%25.41%19.74%
Both teams to score 44.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74%57.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.1%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09%20.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36%53.64%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15%43.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20%80%
Score Analysis
    USA 54.85%
    Jamaica 19.74%
    Draw 25.41%
USADrawJamaica
1-0 @ 14.35%
2-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.74%

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