USA
2 - 0
Mexico

Pulisic (74'), McKennie (85')
Robinson (59'), Steffen (68'), McKennie (68')
Robinson (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romo (45+1'), Rodriguez (68')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Mexico
38.36%	26.63%	35%

Both teams to score 52.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.06%

52.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.46%

74.54%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12%

26.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81%

62.19%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14%

28.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27%

64.72%

Score Analysis

USA 38.36%

Mexico 35%

Draw 26.63%

USA	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.36%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35%