SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 90.44%. A draw has a probability of 7.2% and a win for Vanuatu has a probability of 2.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 3-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.81%) and 4-0 (11.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.4%), while for a Vanuatu win it is 0-1 (1.02%).
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | Vanuatu |
90.44% ( 0.66) | 7.18% ( -0.72) | 2.38% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 34.32% ( 4.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.51% ( 5.34) | 27.49% ( -5.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.9% ( 6.42) | 48.1% ( -6.42) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.39% ( 0.95) | 3.6% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.42% ( 3.03) | 15.58% ( -3.02) |
| Vanuatu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.6% ( 4.67) | 64.39% ( -4.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.26% ( 1.89) | 92.74% ( -1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| New Zealand | Draw | Vanuatu |
| 3-0 @ 14.19% ( -1.26) 2-0 @ 12.81% ( -2.19)4-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.46)1-0 @ 7.71% ( -2)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.53)2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.77)6-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.54)5-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.72)7-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.38)6-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.32)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.32)7-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.82% Total : 90.43% | 1-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.82)2-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.22% Total : 7.18% | 0-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.36% Total : 2.38% |
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