SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Korea | 3 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| North Korea | Draw | Qatar |
17.39% ( 0.46) | 22.74% ( 0.1) | 59.88% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 47.99% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.32) | 50.36% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.28) | 72.3% ( -0.29) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( 0.76) | 42.57% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.08% ( 0.65) | 78.92% ( -0.65) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.08) | 16.44% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( -0.15) | 46.13% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Korea | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.39% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.4% ( -0.21)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 5.86% 0-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 59.87% |
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