SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Scotland | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Poland | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Lithuania |
48.29% ( 0.68) | 25.26% ( -0.05) | 26.45% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.35% ( -0.23) | 50.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.44% ( -0.2) | 72.56% ( 0.2) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( 0.2) | 20.99% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( 0.31) | 53.76% ( -0.31) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.62) | 33.73% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( -0.69) | 70.39% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Lithuania |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.45% |
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