SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 81.87%. A draw has a probability of 11.4% and a win for Samoa has a probability of 6.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 0-3 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-3 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Samoa win it is 2-1 (2.1%).
| Result | ||
| Samoa | Draw | New Zealand |
6.78% ( -0.54) | 11.35% ( -0.43) | 81.87% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.01) | 24.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.02) | 44.43% ( 0.02) |
| Samoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.68% ( -1.4) | 43.32% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.44% ( -1.19) | 79.56% ( 1.2) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.54% ( 0.15) | 4.47% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.65% ( 0.45) | 18.35% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samoa | Draw | New Zealand |
| 2-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.14% Total : 6.78% | 1-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.35% | 0-3 @ 9.69% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 8.1% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 7.53% ( 0.31)1-4 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 4.68% ( 0.24)1-5 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.09)0-6 @ 2.43% ( 0.15)1-6 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)0-7 @ 1.08% ( 0.08)1-7 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.38% Total : 81.87% |
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