Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 90.19%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 2.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.08%) and 4-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Nigeria | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
90.19% (![]() | 7.51% (![]() | 2.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 31.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.55% (![]() | 30.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.27% (![]() | 51.74% (![]() |
Nigeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.91% (![]() | 4.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.81% (![]() | 17.19% (![]() |
Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
32.64% (![]() | 67.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
6.02% (![]() | 93.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nigeria | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
3-0 @ 15% (![]() 2-0 @ 14.08% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 11.98% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.74% Total : 90.18% | 1-1 @ 3.48% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 7.51% | 0-1 @ 1.09% (![]() Other @ 1.21% Total : 2.3% |
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