SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 86.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 3.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.47%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Pakistan |
86.17% ( 0.01) | 9.94% ( -0) | 3.89% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 37.76% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.01) | 32.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.51% ( 0.01) | 54.49% ( -0.01) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.79% ( 0) | 5.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.38% ( 0.01) | 20.62% ( -0.01) |
| Pakistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.84% ( 0) | 60.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.27% ( 0) | 90.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tajikistan | Draw | Pakistan |
| 2-0 @ 13.68% 3-0 @ 13.47% 4-0 @ 9.95% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.85% 5-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.99% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.74% 6-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 86.16% | 1-1 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 9.94% | 0-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.1% Total : 3.89% |
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