Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.53%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.