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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2021 at 1am UK
 
AN

Venezuela
1 - 3
Argentina

Soteldo (90+4' pen.)
Soteldo (45'), Hurtado (79')
Martinez (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (45+2'), Correa (71'), Correa (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.53%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawArgentina
16.8%24.96%58.25%
Both teams to score 40.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.78%59.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36%79.64%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.42%48.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.35%83.65%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26%52.73%
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 16.8%
    Argentina 58.24%
    Draw 24.96%
VenezuelaDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 7.13%
2-1 @ 4.1%
2-0 @ 2.58%
3-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.8%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 3.27%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 15.73%
0-2 @ 12.53%
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-3 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.8%
0-4 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 58.24%

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