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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2021 at 1am UK
 
AN

Bolivia
1 - 4
Argentina

Saavedra (60')
Ramallo (86'), Wayar (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Papu (6'), Messi (33' pen., 42'), Martinez (65')
Acuna (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.58%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
BoliviaDrawArgentina
13.8%22.72%63.48%
Both teams to score 40.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82%56.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77%77.23%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.99%51.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.65%85.34%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75%17.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44%47.56%
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 13.8%
    Argentina 63.47%
    Draw 22.72%
BoliviaDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 5.92%
2-1 @ 3.5%
2-0 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.8%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 15.46%
0-2 @ 13.58%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-3 @ 7.96%
1-3 @ 5.36%
0-4 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 63.47%

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