Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.