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AN
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2021 at 1am UK
 
PN

Argentina
1 - 0
Paraguay

Papu (10')
Paredes (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomez (16'), Cardozo (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawParaguay
50.74%26.16%23.1%
Both teams to score 46.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32%56.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36%77.64%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58%22.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06%55.94%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98%40.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33%76.67%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 50.73%
    Paraguay 23.1%
    Draw 26.16%
ArgentinaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.41%
2-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.97%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 23.1%

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