Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jahn Regensburg would win this match.
