SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
51.15% ( 0.06) | 23.64% ( -0.05) | 25.2% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( 0.22) | 44.78% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( 0.21) | 67.14% ( -0.21) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( 0.1) | 17.55% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( 0.18) | 48.08% ( -0.18) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0.11) | 31.61% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( 0.13) | 68.02% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.2% |
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