SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
41.18% ( 0) | 25.06% ( 0.01) | 33.76% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.03) | 46.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.03) | 68.66% ( 0.03) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.02) | 22.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( -0.02) | 55.98% ( 0.02) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.02) | 26.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( -0.03) | 61.63% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 33.76% |
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