SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Lahti |
48.04% ( -0.87) | 24.52% ( 0) | 27.44% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( 0.59) | 46.87% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.55) | 69.12% ( -0.55) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.13) | 19.58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.2) | 51.5% ( 0.2) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.98) | 30.96% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( 1.13) | 67.26% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.04% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.44% |
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