Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
