Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for KuPS in this match.