Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
