SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Honka |
29.78% ( -0.05) | 26.79% ( -0.05) | 43.43% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.12% ( 0.17) | 54.87% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( 0.14) | 76.16% ( -0.15) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.05) | 33.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( 0.05) | 70% ( -0.06) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.13) | 25.07% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( 0.18) | 59.75% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.42% |
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