Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for SJK had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
