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AU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 4, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
WP

Adelaide United
2 - 2
Wellington

Ibusuki (26', 55')
Irankunda (37'), Tunnicliffe (41'), Popovic (43'), Ibusuki (90+4')
Warland (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barbarouses (15', 46')
Paulsen (77'), van Hattum (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-1 Wellington
Friday, December 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
52.34% (-0.508 -0.51) 21.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 26.54% (0.554 0.55)
Both teams to score 66.92% (0.76000000000001 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.47% (0.759 0.76)31.53% (-0.762 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.98% (0.888 0.89)53.01% (-0.892 -0.89)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (0.107 0.11)12.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (0.22799999999999 0.23)38.34% (-0.231 -0.23)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (0.774 0.77)23.58% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (1.107 1.11)57.64% (-1.11 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 52.34%
    Wellington Phoenix 26.54%
    Draw 21.11%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-2 @ 4.62% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.41% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.16% (0.05 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 52.34%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.23% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, December 22 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Adelaide United
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 10 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Adelaide United
Monday, December 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-1 Wellington
Friday, December 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 23 at 4.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Wellington
Monday, December 18 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-3 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 9 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, December 2 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30am in Australian A-League


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