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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
64.76% ( 2.06) | 20.14% ( -0.85) | 15.1% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( 1.46) | 43.42% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( 1.42) | 65.81% ( -1.42) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( 1.06) | 12.65% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.2% ( 2.15) | 38.8% ( -2.15) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.69) | 41.32% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% ( -0.62) | 77.84% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.24% Total : 64.75% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.14% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.69% Total : 15.1% |
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