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Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2022 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
PG

Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Elsey (59'), Mikeltadze (90+3')
Elsey (54'), Mikeltadze (81')
Elsey (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McEneff (73' pen.)
Amini (54')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 9 at 5am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
64.76% (2.062 2.06) 20.14% (-0.855 -0.85) 15.1% (-1.207 -1.21)
Both teams to score 51.25% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.58% (1.46 1.46)43.42% (-1.458 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.18% (1.42 1.42)65.81% (-1.419 -1.42)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (1.061 1.06)12.65% (-1.06 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (2.145 2.15)38.8% (-2.145 -2.15)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (-0.692 -0.69)41.32% (0.694 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (-0.617 -0.62)77.84% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 64.75%
    Perth Glory 15.1%
    Draw 20.14%
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 10.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.7% (0.415 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.244 0.24)
4-0 @ 3.98% (0.361 0.36)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.257 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.207 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 64.75%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.417 -0.42)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.14%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.397 -0.4)
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 15.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Utd
Wednesday, May 4 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, May 1 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-4 Central Coast
Saturday, April 23 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-2 Newcastle Jets
Wednesday, April 20 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Victory
Saturday, April 16 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 9 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-0 Melbourne City
Wednesday, May 4 at 12.05pm in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 30 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 24 at 8.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 6-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, April 16 at 8.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-1 Wellington
Wednesday, April 13 at 10.05am in Australian A-League


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