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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
26.71% ( 0.73) | 24.84% ( -0) | 48.45% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 0.55) | 48.74% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( 0.5) | 70.85% ( -0.5) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( 0.88) | 32.51% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( 0.97) | 69.04% ( -0.97) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( -0.09) | 20.15% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( -0.14) | 52.43% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.71% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.45% |
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