SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
37.19% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( 0.01) | 38.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.04) | 42.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.04) | 64.93% ( 0.04) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.02) | 22.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( -0.02) | 56.42% ( 0.02) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( -0.03) | 22.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( -0.04) | 55.45% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.47% |
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