Central Coast
4 - 2
Macarthur

Urena (27', 82'), Hatch (48'), Smith (57')
Roux (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mariappa (45+1'), Rose (88')
M'Mombwa (5'), Mutch (32'), Noone (90')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Macarthur
53.83%	22.93%	23.24%

Both teams to score 56.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48%

43.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.08%

65.92%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88%

16.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.46%

45.54%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43%

32.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.89%

69.11%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 53.83%

Macarthur 23.24%

Draw 22.93%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.38% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.03% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.24%