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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
33.84% ( 0.45) | 25.06% ( -0.23) | 41.1% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( 1.15) | 46.36% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( 1.07) | 68.65% ( -1.07) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.83) | 26.4% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 1.08) | 61.56% ( -1.08) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.39) | 22.47% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( 0.58) | 56.03% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.1% |
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