Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
