Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
