Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Adelaide United in this match.
