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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.52% ( -0.08) | 21.8% ( 0.02) | 20.68% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0.01) | 41.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.01) | 63.93% ( 0.01) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.03) | 14.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.05% ( -0.05) | 41.94% ( 0.05) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0.05) | 33.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( 0.06) | 70.48% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 20.68% |
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