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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
25.02% ( 0.52) | 22.14% ( 0.1) | 52.83% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% ( 0.05) | 38.05% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% ( 0.05) | 60.32% ( -0.05) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( 0.43) | 28.15% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( 0.54) | 63.83% ( -0.54) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( -0.19) | 14.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.45% ( -0.36) | 42.55% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.84% |
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