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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
40.6% ( 0.22) | 25.24% ( -0.02) | 34.16% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.07) | 47.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.06) | 69.33% ( -0.06) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 0.14) | 23.04% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( 0.2) | 56.86% ( -0.2) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.09) | 26.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( -0.12) | 61.77% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.16% |
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